Two divisional matchups are on the schedule for Sunday, and Winners and Whiners has the top NFL betting promos available. Winners and Whiners is also your leader for free picks, premium picks, and sports betting news. Check out today’s promos, along with picks for the NFC matchup between the Buccaneers vs Lions and the AFC game between the Chiefs vs Bills.
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NFL Playoff Roundtable
Check out our experts Mason Folz, Scott Steehnroller, Seamus Cole, Mark Ruelle, and David Delano, as they break down this week’s NFL playoff games. Watch the Winners and Whiners NFL Roundtable for the Divisional Round here.
AFC Prediction: Kansas City Chiefs vs Buffalo Bills
Free Pick by Michael Briggs
The current state of the Bills’ defense is troublesome, as several key players are out, five starters are questionable to play, and several backups are also injured. The majority of the injuries are in the Buffalo secondary, which Mahomes will be eager to take advantage of. The home team is also playing a shorter week, as the postponement of the Bills’ Wild Card game leaves them at a disadvantage versus the Chiefs, who played two days earlier.
The Kansas City passing game has been underwhelming compared to recent seasons, but it isn’t lacking playmakers, especially since the emergence of Rice (79 receptions for 938 yards and seven TDs). Still, I expect the Chiefs to stick to shorter, quick throws and lean on the ground game (43 percent of its snaps in the past three weeks), as the backbone of this team is Steve Spagnuolo’s defense.
Kansas City has been stout all season, ranking seventh in Defensive DVOA and sixth in EPA allowed per play. The secondary has been locked in (2nd in passing yards allowed), and the pass rush has been excellent (2nd in sacks). It will be in for a challenge against Allen, who has put his team on his back the past two games, but it’s capable of getting the job done.
In the eight games that the Chiefs have been road underdogs since Mahomes became QB1, they are 6-2 SU and 7-0-1 ATS. For those bettors interested in referee trends, KC is 8-2 SU in games with Shawn Hochuli, too. With the Bills laying only 2.5 points and the moneyline at tempting +125 odds, I’m confident the best value is on the Chiefs ML.
NFC Prediction: Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Detroit Lions
Free Pick by Chris King
Detroit won the regular season meeting between the teams back in October as Goff went for 340 yards through the air while the Lions’ defense held the Buccaneers to 46 yards on the ground. Mayfield struggled in that game, going 19 of 37 for 206 yards and an interception. The problem for the Lions is that they have struggled stopping opposing teams from moving the ball in the second half of the season.
Detroit has given up at least 20 points in nine of their last 10 games and has allowed more than 300 yards through the air in each of their last four contests. The Lions have plenty of firepower offensively but with Mayfield on the same page with Evans, Godwin and company, they can hang around. Detroit should win the game but giving nearly a touchdown is too much. If you’re playing the line, back the Bucs as this is likely a three or four-point margin.
Prediction: Tampa Bay Buccaneers +6.5
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